LIB 26.8%
Incumbent MP
Peter Treloar, since 2010.
Geography
Flinders covers western parts of South Australia. The electorate covers the South Australian coastline from Franklin Harbour to the Western Australian border, covering the Eyre Peninsula and the Nullabor Plain. The largest town in the seat is Port Lincoln, as well as the towns of Ceduna, Cleve, Cummins, Elliston, Port Lincoln, Streaky Bay and Tumby Bay.
Redistribution
Flinders expanded to the north, taking in Franklin Harbour and Kimba council areas, as well as a large part of the South Australian outback including Maralinga.
History
The electorate of Flinders has existed as a single-member electorate since 1938. In that time the seat has never been held by the ALP. For most of its history, Flinders has been held by the Liberal Party and its predecessor, apart from a period when it was held by the National Party.
The seat in 1938 was won by Edward Craigie, who had been an MP in the area for the Single Tax League since 1930.
Craigie lost in 1941 to the Liberal and Country League’s Rex Pearson. The seat was then held by the LCL continuously from 1941 to 1973.
The National Party’s Peter Blacker won the seat in 1973. He was the sole National MP in the South Australian parliament during his time in the seat. He held the seat until his defeat in 1993. The 1993 election saw the inclusion of Kangaroo Island in Flinders for the first time, before it was removed in 1997.
Liz Penfold defeated Blacker in 1993, winning the seat back for the Liberal Party. She held the seat until her retirement in 2010.
The Liberal Party’s Peter Treloar won the seat in 2010, and has been re-elected twice.
Candidates
Sitting Liberal MP Peter Treloar is not running for re-election.
- Sarah Tynan (Labor)
- Kathryn Hardwick-Franco (Greens)
- Lillian Poynter (Nationals)
- Tracey Dalton (Family First)
- Liz Habermann (Independent Time for Change)
- Sam Telfer (Liberal)
Assessment
Flinders is the safest Liberal seat in the state.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Peter Treloar | Liberal | 13,565 | 68.2 | -3.5 | 68.2 |
| Julie Watson | Labor | 3,598 | 18.1 | +2.5 | 17.3 |
| Ian Dudley | Greens | 1,429 | 7.2 | +0.9 | 6.9 |
| Tony Parker | Australian Christians | 1,300 | 6.5 | +0.2 | 6.2 |
| Others | 1.4 | ||||
| Informal | 606 | 3.0 |
2018 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Peter Treloar | Liberal | 15,176 | 76.3 | -2.6 | 76.8 |
| Julie Watson | Labor | 4,716 | 23.7 | +2.6 | 23.2 |
Booths in Flinders have been divided into four parts: east, north, west and the Port Lincoln area.
The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 69.6% in Port Lincoln to 81.7% in the west.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | LIB 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Port Lincoln | 8.5 | 69.6 | 6,616 | 31.1 |
| East | 3.5 | 80.0 | 3,393 | 15.9 |
| North | 7.8 | 79.9 | 3,079 | 14.5 |
| West | 8.3 | 81.7 | 2,634 | 12.4 |
| Other votes | 5.9 | 79.5 | 5,572 | 26.2 |
Election results in Flinders at the 2018 South Australian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party and Labor.
There is a National Party candidate running here. Could pull away a couple conservative rural voters from the Liberal incumbent.
A Coalition HOLD. But could be fight in terms which party in the Coalition holds it.
CG, incumbent Liberal MP Peter Treloar is retiring at this election. That would make it more competitive, particularly as this is one of only 2 seats in the state that the Nationals have held as an independent party.